The return of BS Predictions for last week’s UFC Fight Night 81 was a major disappointment. We went 1-3, only predicting the main event correctly. Thankfully the UFC’s busy schedule gives us the opportunity for redemption only a week later, plus there are 6 fights on the main card! So let’s see if we can get it right this time around.
Mike Pyle (26-11) vs. Sean Spencer (12-4)
If we are only looking at the experience factor Mike Pyle should win this fight. However, the outcome of this fight will have a lot more to do with skills than it will experience.
Sean Spencer will be entering the Octagon for the first time in over a year. He has alternated wins and losses in his last four fights. He lost to Cathal Pendred and Alex Garcia while the wins came against Drew Dober and Paulo Thiago. The victory over Thiago is probably the biggest win of his career.
Mike Pyle on the other hand has lost three of four coming into Saturday night. But, he’s definitely faced the tougher competition over the years. He holds UFC wins over Ricardo Almeida and Rick Story. He also had an early career win over former welterweight title challenger Jon Fitch.
Pyle is too crafty, both on his feet and on the ground for Spencer. He could win this one either way. I’m thinking he’ll win by submission off his back in the 2nd round.
Prediction: Mike Pyle via submission round two
Misha Cirkunov (10-2) vs. Alex Nicholson (6-1)
I have a soft spot for Canadians, I am one. Naturally I think Canadian light heavyweight Misha Cirkunov is going to win on Saturday night. He’s facing UFC newcomer Alex Nicholson who stole the show at Friday’s weigh-ins when he proposed to his girlfriend on stage.
That may be the only highlight of Nicholson’s weekend in Vegas. Cirkunov is coming off a first round knockout of Daniel Jolly at UFC Fight Night 74 last August. In fact, Cirkunov is on a five fight win streak with all of the wins coming by way of stoppage.
Five of Alex Nicholson’s six career wins have been TKO’s so he does have a puncher’s chance. Unfortunately that won’t matter much when he’s the one getting punched.
Prediction: Misha Cirkunov via TKO round one
Joseph Benavidez (23-4) vs. Zach Makovsky (19-6)
The only times Joseph Benavidez has lost inside the UFC octagon have been when he’s faced current flyweight champion Demetrious “Mighty Mouse” Johnson.
Sure Zach Makovsky is a former Bellator bantamweight and RFA flyweight champ but none of that will matter come Saturday night.
Joseph Benavidez will get the submission victory and might even make it look easy. This will once again prove that he’s the second best flyweight in the world.
Prediction: Joseph Benavidez via submission round one
Rafael Cavalcante (12-4) vs. Ovince Saint Preux (18-7)
Cavalcante has lost two straight fights and those losses came against solid competition in Patrick Cummins and Ryan Bader. Ovince Saint Preux lost his last fight to Glover Teixeira but before that he had won two straight against Mauricio Rua and Patrick Cummins.
This should be an exciting matchup that is likely to take place standing up. As of late “OSP” has shown some devastating knockout power against some of the best light heavyweights in the world.
However, I think this one will be a back and forth battle and goes the distance with Saint Preux getting a unanimous decision victory. He should be ready for another step up in competition the next time he fights inside the octagon.
Prediction: Ovince Saint Preux via unanimous decision
Roy Nelson (20-12) vs. Jared Rosholt (14-2)
Both of Jared Rosholt’s career losses have come by way of TKO. Therefore, I’m not going to waste much time predicting his co-main event matchup against Roy “Big Country” Nelson.
Roy will come out swinging and land one of his patented bombs, putting the lights out for Jared Rosholt very quickly.
Prediction: Roy Nelson via knockout round one
Johny Hendricks vs. Stephen Thompson
Now we are at the main event for UFC Fight Night 82 which pits former welterweight champ Johny Hendricks against up and comer Stephen “Wonderboy” Thompson.
On paper this is a very intriguing stylistic matchup. You have the raw power and world class wrestling of Johny Hendricks against the unpredictable karate style of Stephen Thompson.
If you take a closer look what you have here is a former UFC champion taking on a guy who might be a little in over his head. Yes Thompson has a win over Jake Ellenberger, but at this point a win over Ellenberger doesn’t mean as much as it used to.
Hendricks might have trouble finding his range on the feet, seeing as Thompson’s standup style is so unique. That’s why we’ll see Hendricks go back to his wrestling roots Saturday night and get a ground and pound TKO win.
Prediction: Johny Hendricks via TKO round two
Pro Fighting Fans Editor/Writer