Thanks to a decent effort with our UFC Fight Night 82 predictions, BS Predictions is now 6-4 since returning to the world of MMA journalism. This week we have another opportunity to improve that record when UFC Fight Night 83 rolls into Pittsburgh with a main event featuring Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone taking on Alex “Cowboy” Oliveira. So let’s rustle up some predictions and see how we do!
Shane Campbell (12-3) vs. James Krause (22-7)
Canadian fighter Shane Campbell has an impressive kickboxing record of 62-9, but when he’s standing across the cage from James Krause at UFC Fight Night 83 it’s going to be a whole different story.
Krause has been inconsistent since joining the UFC however he’s coming off a submission victory over Daron Cruickshank and will be looking to keep the recent success going. Campbell won a unanimous decision over Elias Silverio this past August so he too will want to put together a winning streak.
I think Krause has faced the better competition and he’s superior in all aspects of the MMA game. Whether it’s on the feet or ground Krause wins this fight.
Prediction: James Krause
Chris Camozzi (22-10) vs. Joe Riggs (41-16-1NC)
Both of these guys are currently in their second stints with the UFC. Riggs had been away from the octagon since 2006 when he finally returned in 2014. Camozzi was only gone for less than a year before he took a short notice fight against Ronaldo Souza last April and lost by first round submission. He’s since bounced back with a unanimous decision win over Tom Watson. Riggs first fight back in the UFC was against Ben Saunders at UFC on FOX 13, he was on a six fight win streak before losing to Saunders that night.
Two of the three fights Joe Riggs has had in his UFC comeback have ended in odd fashion. The loss to Saunders was due to a neck injury suffered by Riggs, while his most recent win over Ron Stallings came via disqualification when Stallings used an illegal upkick.
This fight is not going to end in a weird way. Camozzi is the better fighter. Riggs is at the end of a career that never quite reached its potential and he won’t have much to offer against Camozzi.
Prediction: Chris Camozzi
Dennis Bermudez (14-5) vs. Tatsuya Kawajiri (35-8-2)
Bermudez has won five post fight bonuses since he joined the UFC in 2011 as a member of the Ultimate Fighter 14 cast. He lost in the finale to Diego Brandao and then went on a 7 fight winning streak beating some solid competition including Max Holloway and Clay Guida. Kawajiri on the other hand lost to Clay Guida via unanimous decision. He’s since won two straight against Dennis Siver and Jason Knight.
I think that despite Bermudez’s wild striking style this could end up being a grappling heavy affair. Kawajiri might be the stronger of the two and if he can get top position he’ll likely grind out a victory against Bermudez.
Prediction: Tatsuya Kawajiri
Cody Garbrandt (7-0 vs. Augusto Mendes (5-0)
This will be a battle of young undefeated fighters trying to make an impression on the UFC brass. Garbrandt was expected to face John Lineker, a big step up in competition, now he’ll face UFC newcomer Augusto Mendes.
Mendes was supposed to make a short notice debut in January, but two days after taking the fight he dropped out due to an injury. Now he’ll make his first octagon appearance against Garbrandt, who is on the cusp of breaking into the UFC bantamweight division’s top 10. Another factor in this fight is the fact that Mendes didn’t make weight for this bout.
Garbrandt will make quick work of Mendes and most likely he’ll get a top ten opponent the next time we see him.
Prediction: Cody Garbrandt
Derek Brunson (14-3) vs. Roan Carneiro (20-9)
This will be the second time Carneiro will step into the UFC’s octagon since being away from the organization for almost 8 years. In his return he took out Mark Munoz in the first round at UFC 184. He’s now on a six fight win streak and Brunson has won three straight including two straight TKO victories over Sam Alvey and Ed Herman.
Derek Brunson is actually 5-1 since he became a member of the UFC, he might be ready to break through the fog and enter the top ten in the UFC’s middleweight division. Roan Carneiro will put up a good fight but Brunson should be able to keep the distance and keep the fight standing on his way to a decision victory.
Prediction: Derek Brunson
Donald Cerrone (28-7) vs. Alex Oliveira (14-2-1-1NC)
Originally Donald Cerrone was supposed to make his welterweight debut against Tim Means in the headliner of UFC Fight Night 83. Means was since dropped from the card due to a failed drug test so he’s being replaced by another “Cowboy”, Alex Oliveira.
I expect this to be a wild one, Oliveira loves to push the pace and Cerrone loves to stand and bang. Cerrone is one of the most exciting fighters on the UFC roster and he never disappoints. He’s looking to rebound after a failed title bid in 2015 when he lost to lightweight champion Rafael dos Anjos. Oliveira has won three straight and seems to be ready for a bigger challenge.
Well Oliveira will definitely get a challenge against Cerrone but I don’t think he’s ready for this one. Donald Cerrone will be patient and calculated, one way or another he’ll finish this fight on the feet.
Prediction: Donald Cerrone
Pro Fighting Fans Editor/Writer